26 February 2007

Don’t negotiate with terrorists

There is a Mazandarani (Caspian sea province) saying: When a Mullah gets on a donkey he will not come off it until either he dies or the donkey.

The deadline that the UN Security Council Resolution 1737 imposed on Iran for suspending its nuclear program has now passed with Iran defiant. Is there a path to peaceful resolution of the looming conflict between Iran and the international community?

Firstly, there is a terrorist element in the Islamic regime. This dreadful element will continue to operate even when not in the government. It has its own power base in the revolutionary guards and the Basijis, which are formed by ill-educated simple Iranians who are easily brainwashed by the terrorists loyal to Khomeini and Khamenei. This is where the support for the Hezbullah, Qods and other terrorist organisations comes from. The leaders of these forces have carte blanche power to act independently of all state institutions except the leadership. The terrorist element of the regime at the moment is under direct leadership of Khamenei but will not relinquish by his death. Khamenei is only a flag bearer. He follows the guidelines that Khomeini, the founder of the Islamic Republic left behind and the next leader will have to do the same. It is incorrect to believe that the next leader might divert from some Khomeini’s principles and guidelines. The guidelines are pretty much in place and straight forward. There are still many of Khomeini’s followers still alive and loyal to him. As for how important Khomeini is to the regime just take a trip to his shrine near the Behesht Zahrah cemetery, south of Tehran. There is no realistic hope of a reformist spiritual leader until all the Khomeini loyalists have vanished and the gradual softening of his policies has taken place. This may take many years. The terrorist element has destroyed and will continue to do so any hopes of reform of the regime. This terrorist element, until completely annihilated, will continue to terrorise Iranians and the world. The world cannot afford to wait for a slow and gradual annihilation of the terrorist elements of the Islamic regime.

Secondly, the proximity of fundamentalists to the nuclear technology and the bomb is indeed scary. Should the regime through negotiations be allowed to pursue its nuclear activities even under the watchful eyes of the IAEA and thereby make leaps and bounds in this respect, the terrorist element of the regime would get their hands on and abuse the mastered technology and deliver it to the terrorist groups they support and train. Past experience has proved that it is possible to fool the IAEA. There is a mutual trust and confidence between IAEA and the nuclear country and the success of IAEA’s monitoring the nuclear activities hugely depends on full cooperation from the state and on the very mutual trust and confidence term. I am not at all confident that the Islamic regime would be capable of complying with this term. Therefore, the international community’s insistence on the regime’s halting all nuclear activities before any negotiations take place is reasonable and wise.

Thirdly, the regime insists on its nuclear technology program and has made it crystal clear that it would not make an iota of concession on that front. In fact, any concession on that front would be considered as a defeat by the regime and thus it would be futile to build on any strategies on the basis that there is a chance the regime might suspend its nuclear program. In fact, it would give the regime more time to get closer to the bomb.

Fourthly, it is clear that the regime would not be interested in using its nuclear program as a bargaining tool to get something else unlike the North Koreans. The regime does not need money and in fact, has enough of it to supply the Hezbullah, Hamas, Qods and others all at the same time; it has managed to enlist, through previous bargaining with the West, some of its opposition as terrorists and zero coverage of the opposition by the Western mainstream media; is in total control of the country with an iron fist; is manufacturing its own military arsenal and recently, space rockets; and is confident in itself as a growing regional power. What concessions could the international community possibly make to entice the Islamic regime to suspend its nuclear program?

So here we have a terrorist regime that wants to obtain nuclear technology. This is not a simple matter of a small terrorist group fighting for certain regional rights: the terrorist regime’s list of demands includes the annihilation of certain states and imposition of medieval and backward ideology worldwide. Khamenei and Ahmadinejad and their ilk are not only the enemies of the West and democracy but also the enemies of the Iranians and our rich civilised culture. Negotiations with terrorists are never considered to be a wise move. In this case, negotiations without preconditions with a tyrannical regime that violates its own people’s basic human rights and with such demands as the annihilation of another state namely Israel is foolish.

There would have been a path to peaceful resolution had it not been for the terrorist element in the Islamic regime that now has the full control of the country. That element is not only anti-Western, anti-human, anti-modernity, anti-democracy and anti-Iranian, but also seeks to implement its fundamentalist Islamic ideology in every country of the world, i.e. the Islamic rule as promised by the Koran and return of the hidden Imam and by use of force if necessary. The terrorist element of the Islamic regime unilaterally declared and waged their war against humanity decades ago. If there is any hope of ending that war, it should come from the terrorist element of the Islamic regime and that will never come. Furthermore, It is inconceivable to accept the Islamist terrorists’ medieval ideology in the 21st century and therefore the answer to the question is no, there is no path to peaceful resolution. Unless, of course, the international community surrenders to the terrorist regime’s demands of becoming a nuclear power so that it continues terrorising Iranians and the rest of the world and Mullahs and Imams can sit in their high chairs and preach freely to the vulnerable people of all societies and incite and encourage them to further terrorise the rest of the society into submitting to their medieval and subhuman way of life. As an Iranian I do not advocate war on my homeland. However I do support the war against the terrorists who have taken over my country.

8 comments:

plateau said...

Great read - I've posted this on my blog, in quotes, with a direct link to your blog. Hope you don't mind.

serendip said...

Agreed with Plateau...there seems to be a disconnect of epic proportion in the intelligence community to have not figured out the Islamic Republic yet....

A Jacksonian said...

The disconnect is multi-level and stretches from more than just the INTEL Community but to the diplomatic corps and even, to a certain extent, places like Commerce, Justice, and Defense. All of them have been telling us that they have no way to handle transnational terrorism or the States that support it, with Iran, North Korea, and Syria being prime cases. Iran is the most worrying as it is setting up a system that will survive even if the regime falls. All of its "franchise" operations of Hezbollah and Islamic Jihad are internetworking with other terrorist and criminal organizations to get localized support. That long list is worrying, in the extreme: Lebanon, Bosnia, KSA, Egypt, Argentina, Brazil, Venezuela, Chechnya...

The regime in Iran is not only exploiting localized ignorance on the part of some of the population, but then enforcing that with hired thugs from the 'Stans when their own Revolutionary/Special Guard and Basij are not available. The regime itself does not trust the regular police or army, which have a higher base in the younger demographic and have not proven useful to them in localized suppression and repression. That is why we see so much of the Guards, Basij, Qods and Hezbollah: the regular people of Iran via their old State based capability does not support those things.

Worse than that is either the total neglect of the petro-infrastructure or its intentional slow decay so as to slowly render it incapable of long-term production. No sane Nation does that to its cash-cow, and yet this poison pill is slowly being dissolved inside Iran so that even if the regime was replaced easily, quickly and with full support *tomorrow* the economic future of Iran would be in doubt for the next 5-15 years.

The alliance with Syria is yielding long term benefits, if the aim is to get nuclear devices. I've taken some time to track down the sites and basic capabilities there and the results are chilling. Not only the ability to extract phosphorus, but then refine it to the 'yellowcake' precursor to high enrichment, but word from the area via the UK that a team of Syrian, Iranian, ex-Iraqi, and ex-Russian Republic nuclear scientists are *in* Syria. For what Iran can do, Syria is more highly technically competent at things like long-range missile and WMD production and refining of phosphorus. If that is the case, and while in doubt the pointers are leading that way, then Iran may be playing a horrific game of showmanship while the actual development is done in Syria for nuclear devices.

What that leads to is two Middle Eastern States that support transnational terrorism being able to provide nuclear devices, with Syria having chemical and suspected bio weapons. That triad with IRBMs available to Syria and Iran puts a threat area out that is staggering in size and scope. And with Hezbollah, Qods, Islamic Jihad and such willing to fight to the death to protect such operations, the need for a regular army is reduced and the potential of use for such weapons drastically increased.

The logistics are set up for that.

Time is not on the side of civilization until that day dawns.

Ardeshir Dolat said...

I totally agree with you guys.
The disconnect in the Intel. community is indeed scary. They seem to have forgotten the civil world war on terrorism particularly after 9/11 is a war on the global Islamist terrorism and liberating Afghanistan and Iraq is part of that fight, which is indeed only the beginning. They have forgotten that you do not back off from the battlefield halfway through. The US withdrawal of Iraq before the Islamist terrorism is completely annihilated or reduced to such that can be controlled by the regional governments is foolhardy and indeed fatal. Our future generations will never forgive those who let the civilisation down and gave in to the terrorists and their apologists.

Thank you A Jacksonian for your very useful post/comment.

serendip said...

Dear Ardeshir:

Must Read article...the mullahs should read this article before they lead everyone to slaughter like they did during the Iraq-iran war:

http://www.opendemocracy.net/themes/article.jsp?id=6&articleId=4396

Ardeshir Dolat said...

Dear serendip
Thanks for the link. Good stuff!

Anonymous said...

We will have every Hizbollah women fucked by dogs.
We will send Phallus of ours into ass of All priests muslems.
We will have Khamenei and Rafsanjani and Ahmadinejad and Khatami and Akbar Ganji fucked by a great penis Of donkey and whale .
We will fuck all foreign government which help mullah.
کیر سگ تو کس ننه سید اولاد پیغمبر و کس ننه خود پیامبر اسلام.
کیر خوک تو کس ننه امام حسین.
کیر خر تو کس ننه شیعیان.
صلوات: الله و کیر خر تو کس ننه محمد و آل محمد.
This is a beautiful cultural message for you.

RoxieAmerica said...

Islamic revolutionary extremists are barbarians out to impose their twisted psychotic lifestyle on others by force; as such, I stand against them. Sometimes the choice is as simple as choosing liberty or death. I shall fight for liberty and justice for all -- something Islamic revolutionary extremists can not even comprehend.